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September 27, 2007
Pearse Óg provide the opposition as Crossmaglen Rangers go in search of a remarkable 11th consecutive Armagh championship, and it is hard to see past the All-Ireland club champions on a day when there are a number of big county finals up for decision. Pearse Óg have been progressing nicely in recent years and with long term injury absentee Ronan Clarke back in action, their side looks to have a serious scoring threat to complement their solid balanced defence. In any other county they'd be serious contenders - however this is no normal county final. This is a young, talented, but inexperienced team taking on the reigning All Ireland champions in their own backyard. Crossmaglen minus 4 points at 4/5 is a good wager this weekend, and those looking to add some interest to a game that has serious potential to be uncompetitive could also do a lot worse than have a small nibble at the 7/1 about Cross to win by 9 or 10 points exactly on Ladbrokes' winning margin market. It's slightly surprising that TG4 have elected to show this potential landslide over some of the alternatives around the country this week, but by placing a few shillings on these bets the viewing can become a whole lot more enjoyable. One of the games where the cameras could have been better placed was in Derry, where Ballinderry Shamrocks are 2/7 to continue their spectacular form and account for Glenullin in the county semi final on Sunday evening. Their mightn't be any medals or cups handed out after this match, but supporters can expect a top quality fixture nonetheless. The standard of Derry club football is among the best in Ireland - in the past ten years four different Derry clubs have won a provincial club title, a record matched only by Dublin in Leinster. Ballinderry have been at the heart of this, winning province and All Ireland in 2002, but Sunday evening they are worth opposing - Glenullin are 3/1 is quite simply too big a price. Glenullin haven't got as lustrous a history as the Shamrocks, but they have got one of the best forwards in Ireland in Paddy Bradley, while his brother Eoin is very inconsistent but hugely talented also. If these two lads have an off day Ballinderry have the strength in depth to blow Glenullin out of the water, but on the other hand a good start for the green and yellow men would draw Ballinderry into a seriously tough match, where their lack of a serious challenge so far this year could prove difficult to overcome. Ballinderry should win this game, but they are in no way a 2/7 shot - get on Glenullin at 3/1. We're going to round off this week by highlighting two other outsiders who might just defy their odds this week, but this time in the small ball code. Having already recommended one All Ireland champion club, we're now going to advise betting against another - Dunnamaggin are a huge price at 11/2 to beat Ballyhale Shamrocks. Once again, the better team is not in question, but Dunamaggin have made a habit of playing their best hurling in the Autumn in recent years and their one big question mark - scoring - was partially addressed by the twenty three scores they registered last weekend against Mullinavat. They gave the Shamrocks a seriously tough test last year, and there are several reasons why Ballyhale aren't going to be hurling at the same level. First and by far foremost is the absence of the best hurler in Ireland. Henry Shefflin would be a huge loss to Kilkenny's county team - it's impossible to overstate his contribution at club level, and his absence will make the twenty scores Ballyhale will need a lot harder to find. In conjunction with this, TJ and Eoin Reid aren't hurling nearly as well as they were last year, and when one factors in how many of these players won't have had a break from hurling for almost two years now, a bad day is not without question. At 11/2 it's worth paying to see. Finally, nobody likes to see a great team descend back into mediocrity, but the signs are there that Birr are nothing like the force they once were, and on Saturday evening Coolderry can break the town side's streak of eight county final appearances in a row. These two clubs have been way ahead of every other team in Offaly for the last four years but Coolderry have had to make do with a solitary championship in 2004 as Birr still tended to find a way to win in the big matches between the two. Last year was particularly hard on the men in green with a late Gary Hanniffy point leveling the county final before Birr edged the rematch by a solitary point. Birr put up a reasonable show in Leinster, eventually getting over-run by Ballyhale in the last fifteen minutes of the Leinster final, but nothing they have done so far this year suggests they are operating at anything like that level. Both Seir Kieran and Shinrone came within a goal of Birr, opponents that the Whelahans and co. would have obliterated a year ago. Equally Coolderry have put in some ropey displays this year so far, but they have suffered a lot of injuries and are back to full strength for this clash. Some of Birr's team selections have been mystifying, with Niall Claffey at full back and Paul Cleary at centre back the last day particularly odd. The seemingly comfortable win over Tullamore is easily explained by Tullamore's focus on their upcoming football county final, and with this game not being played in Birr's home field of St. Brendan's Park due to renovation, the reasons for backing Coolderry are stacking up. Ladbrokes offer 8/5 about Brian Carroll and Damien Murray being on the winning side, odds that look more than generous in what is no worse than a 50/50 game.

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