KEVIN McSTAY column
July 27, 2006
Is there a better way?
Some months ago this column warned that the 2006 championships would fail to really spark until the provincial final stages. Despite the re-emergence of a stylish Donegal team and the late June entry of our friends from Dublin, we stand by the early season prediction.
It's perhaps a little hash to describe the first two months of the season as little more than an elimination process. But the reality of this championship is that the stronger counties have disengaged the weaker ones and where the odd surprise is executed, the back door/trap door remains an option to plan your return.
This is best proven by an audit of the eight provincial semi-finalists. Only one team from the 2006 NFL Division 2 has made it through. And Donegal's recent history allows them to believe they are more at home in the higher echelons.
The Qualifiers will give all early season disappointments the opportunity to redress their plight but the August Bank Holiday weekend will surely feature the premier footballing counties. The new system, introduced in 2001, was not designed to accomplish this but history of it suggests it does. The stronger counties enjoyed a position of dominance before the Qualifiers and post their introduction, the status quo remains.
There can be little doubt that the provincial series, as currently configured, perpetuates this scenario. An Elite Eight was always likely to emerge, especially if they are kept on opposite sides of the draw. For the most part, this happened with the 2006 draw.
Ulster generally loses out because it has at least four genuine contenders with perhaps Tyrone and Armagh to the fore presently. But a quick check on the other provinces tosses out the big players: Munster-Cork and Kerry; Connaught: Galway and Mayo; Leinster: Dublin and Laois. The cut and thrust of the early rounds does lead to casualties but they tend to make their way back in if Lady Luck rides with them.
The process by which we identify our All Ireland champions each year needs to be re-examined. The Qualifiers helped greatly to find the best team eventually and this is no crime - we want the best team to win it each year and if that team falls at an early stage for whatever reason, it is only correct that they are afforded a second chance. And the weaker teams have enjoyed great days on the Qualifier Road - Fermanagh, Sligo, Roscommon and others know that a second chance can mean you end up in an All Ireland quarter-final. No doubt some team will emerge this season to capture the imagination.
But it appears to me that its best days are in the rear view mirror. Interest by fans is waning and inexplicably, some teams have failed dismally to embrace the concept. How can a team spend nine months preparing for a crucial championship game, lose it and neglect to prepare properly for a second chance six days later? A season saving second chance and they turn their noses up at it. Better to get the club championships sorted than head off on the rubber chicken circuit!
We have a season from January to late September and though it is a tight fit, by and large we get the club scene squeezed in. But it is the very fractured nature of the club programme that now threatens to derail the Qualifier concept. And I have a sense the club priority has the high moral ground.
The real pressure point in this mix is the historical geography of Ireland - our provinces have unequal numbers of counties and so, a level playing field for the conduct of the championships cannot be provided. Four councils run four excellent competitions with their winners enjoying equal status at the end of their journey. But not throughout it for Leinster has, for instance, almost twice the number of teams in Munster.
I have a proposal based on the many schemes emailed to me over the years and those produced by other contributors to the GAA newspapers and magazines. The planning guidance is as follows:
Must be a level playing field
Same number of counties
Same number of games
Home and away venues in alternate years
Provincial Finals are essential
Promotion and relegation must be a feature
Allows goals for lower level teams
Quality games assured for TV
Club scene must be accommodated
In an attempt to stay with the guidance, the four best teams in each province are decided upon using a historical matrix that weights results, opposition and any other factors deemed appropriate. The matrix might give us the following:
Leinster: Dublin, Laois and two from Wexford/Offaly/Kildare and Westmeath
Ulster: Armagh, Tyrone and two from Fermanagh/Derry/Donegal
Munster: Kerry, Cork, Limerick and one from Tipperary/Clare
Connaught: Mayo, Galway and two from Roscommon/Leitrim/Sligo
A round robin (the use of 'Champions League' nomenclature might frighten off the purists!) in the province ensures three games with the top two going to the final and the bottom two playing off to avoid relegation. This means each county gets a minimum of four significant games in the championship each year. Scoring difference is used to determine places where equal points are amassed. These games take place in May/June.
The provincial finals take place at the end of June with the All Ireland semi-finals (no back door for beaten provincial finalists) in August and the final in September.
But scheduling is a matter for GAA HQ and there is flexibility in this programme for sure. It could all be run off quickly early in the season with an All Ireland final early in August if they wanted. But from a PR perspective it might be better to pad it out over the summer to ensure media exposure.
The competition is so well balanced that one could see many if not all games televise either live or delayed. The crowds would surely flock to the games and the chance to follow your team on a day when they might have to win a game by at least seven points to qualify for the next stage would add great excitement.
And the club is well catered for. Depending on the inter county scheduling the club gets a choice of windows, many reflecting the old traditional dates used. It's a win-win situation and the only controversy would be the type of weighting matrix used to establish the best four teams in each province. And then the noise from the casualties arising from it!
It's not a bad effort and it can be refined. What do you think? Can you do better? Get planning
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